Wednesday, January 9, 2008

She's BACK...

Ah, just that fast Hillary Clinton went from being down and out to up and coming. MSNBC called it one of the greatest political comebacks in American history. (I wonder what that makes John McCain's New Hampshire revival? Perhaps its the greatest political coma recovery in American history?) That claim is just silly.



1) Hillary Clinton had a solid lead in the state until Iowa

2) John McCain was bound to siphon of some independents from Barak Obama

3) The Clinton's are well liked in New Hampshire and have strong support from the Democratic establishment in the state



The media did not get the Obama victory it was pushing for. (Which is too bad because I was really starting to think that Obama might win and then the Republicans could crush him in a general election when everyone came to their senses.)



Take heart though. Slate's political betting markets have swung strongly toward Obama. The media and the crowds may lack wisdom but we can still hope that Obama wins Nevada with the support of the Hospitality unions and wins one of Michigan/South Carolina. That will put him in a strong position to make a run at the big prizes on Feb. 5th.




Obama seems like a smart, if green, senator and I actually have no doubt he'd do a half decent job as President but Clinton is the stronger candidate hands down. She matches Obama's intellect, has more real political experience, deeper connections and a husband who is both a great asset and liability to boot. Make no mistake, she is still at the helm of the most formidable political machine in the race. It is that machine that Republicans need to hope goes down in flames if they have any chance of retaining the White House.




That said, I do love seeing the polls being so completely wrong. I wonder what the crowds in the betting markets will do tomorrow? I may have to put some money down on Clinton while there's money to be made.

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